Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.093877 0.101316 0.109220 0.118272 0.128382 0.139365 0.152248
2024-10-27 0.080215 0.090249 0.101547 0.115308 0.131755 0.150957 0.175332
2024-11-03 0.075320 0.087453 0.101734 0.120001 0.143074 0.171701 0.210650
2024-11-10 0.072381 0.086234 0.103149 0.125702 0.155589 0.194750 0.251571
2024-11-17 0.067875 0.082468 0.100796 0.126041 0.160806 0.208446 0.281442
2024-11-24 0.063298 0.078130 0.097189 0.124152 0.162500 0.217100 0.304860
2024-12-01 0.059146 0.073982 0.093419 0.121556 0.162713 0.223341 0.325116
2024-12-08 0.055124 0.069710 0.089130 0.117789 0.160722 0.225844 0.339429
2024-12-15 0.052626 0.067320 0.087216 0.117185 0.163248 0.235394 0.366718
2024-12-22 0.050035 0.064633 0.084689 0.115436 0.163768 0.241648 0.388996
2024-12-29 0.048537 0.063372 0.084079 0.116454 0.168641 0.255501 0.427395
2025-01-05 0.045946 0.060423 0.080848 0.113213 0.166298 0.256675 0.441352
2025-01-12 0.043290 0.057378 0.077491 0.109833 0.163915 0.258363 0.458566
2025-01-19 0.040960 0.054715 0.074584 0.107014 0.162315 0.261455 0.479837
2025-01-26 0.040620 0.054936 0.076007 0.111226 0.173233 0.289319 0.562278
2025-02-02 0.040501 0.055464 0.077909 0.116356 0.186340 0.323568 0.670366
2025-02-09 0.039283 0.054257 0.077012 0.116660 0.190542 0.340301 0.739494
2025-02-16 0.037723 0.052446 0.075049 0.114960 0.190726 0.348447 0.787708
2025-02-23 0.036139 0.050530 0.072815 0.112623 0.189424 0.353110 0.827378
2025-03-02 0.034445 0.048373 0.070088 0.109228 0.185710 0.351793 0.848650
2025-03-09 0.033426 0.047237 0.068981 0.108683 0.187712 0.364103 0.917675
2025-03-16 0.032271 0.045839 0.067370 0.107105 0.187422 0.370869 0.970740
2025-03-23 0.031653 0.045272 0.067117 0.108024 0.192469 0.391635 1.082235